# sources

node_name: Deportation Labor Shock Thesis
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.epi.org/publication/trumps-deportation-agenda-will-destroy-millions-of-jobs-both-immigrants-and-u-s-born-workers-would-suffer-job-losses-particularly-in-construction-and-child-care/

title:
epi.org: Trumps deportation agenda will destroy millions of jobs both immigrants and u s born workers would suffer job losses particularly in construction and child care


title: fortune.com: Breakeven hiring negative job market unemployment rate trump immigration crackdown
node_name: Labor Market Slack Reservoir
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://fortune.com/2026/04/04/breakeven-hiring-negative-job-market-unemployment-rate-trump-immigration-crackdown/


title: hamiltonproject.org: Seven economic facts about prime age labor force participation
node_name: Labor Market Slack Reservoir
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.hamiltonproject.org/publication/economic-fact/seven-economic-facts-about-prime-age-labor-force-participation/


title: choicesmagazine.org: Whither the h 2a visa program expansion and concentration
node_name: H-2A Guest Worker Expansion Valve
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.choicesmagazine.org/choices-magazine/submitted-articles/whither-the-h-2a-visa-program-expansion-and-concentration


title: uscis.gov: Temporary increase in h 2b nonimmigrant visas for fy 2026
node_name: H-2A Guest Worker Expansion Valve
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.uscis.gov/working-in-the-united-states/temporary-workers/h-2b-non-agricultural-workers/temporary-increase-in-h-2b-nonimmigrant-visas-for-fy-2026


node_name: H-2A Guest Worker Expansion Valve
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.niskanencenter.org/project-2025-risks-600000-h-2a-and-h-2b-visas-annually-threatening-seasonal-workforces-across-the-u-s/

title:
niskanencenter.org: Project 2025 risks 600000 h 2a and h 2b visas annually threatening seasonal workforces across the u s


node_name: Deportation-Induced Automation Acceleration
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.agricultural-robotics.com/news/a-shift-in-the-fields-labor-shortages-push-global-growers-toward-automation

title:
agricultural-robotics.com: A shift in the fields labor shortages push global growers toward automation


title: ifactoryapp.com: Labor shortage food manufacturing ai automation analytics
node_name: Deportation-Induced Automation Acceleration
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://ifactoryapp.com/industries/food-manufacturing/labor-shortage-food-manufacturing-ai-automation-analytics


title: uvm.edu: New economics study finds ice activity upended us childcare workforce
node_name: Childcare-to-Mothers Labor Force Cascade
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.uvm.edu/uvmnews/news/new-economics-study-finds-ice-activity-upended-us-childcare-workforce


title: kjzz.org: Deportations are shrinking the child care workforce whole labor market could be next
node_name: Childcare-to-Mothers Labor Force Cascade
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.kjzz.org/the-show/2026-01-05/deportations-are-shrinking-the-child-care-workforce-whole-labor-market-could-be-next


node_name: Childcare-to-Mothers Labor Force Cascade
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.newamerica.org/better-life-lab/blog/a-chilling-effect-increased-immigration-enforcement-jeopardizes-child-care-and-mothers-employment/

title:
newamerica.org: A chilling effect increased immigration enforcement jeopardizes child care and mothers employment


node_name: ICE Chilling Effect Shadow Deportation
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.osvnews.com/study-mass-deportation-has-chilling-effect-on-labor-market-for-immigrant-us-citizen-workers/

title:
osvnews.com: Study mass deportation has chilling effect on labor market for immigrant us citizen workers


title: npr.org: The economic chilling effect of trumps immigration crackdown
node_name: ICE Chilling Effect Shadow Deportation
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.npr.org/sections/planet-money/2026/05/12/g-s1-121493/the-economic-chilling-effect-of-trumps-immigration-crackdown


node_name: Tariff-Deportation Double Squeeze
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://hbr.org/2025/01/trumps-trade-and-deportation-plans-could-be-disastrous-for-the-u-s-food-supply

title:
Harvard Business Review: Trumps trade and deportation plans could be disastrous for the u s food supply


title: aei.org: Immigration enforcement and the us agricultural sector in 2025
node_name: Tariff-Deportation Double Squeeze
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.aei.org/research-products/report/immigration-enforcement-and-the-us-agricultural-sector-in-2025/


title: pbs.org: Trump administration pauses immigration raids on farms hotels and restaurants
node_name: Agribusiness Enforcement Capture Mechanism
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/trump-administration-pauses-immigration-raids-on-farms-hotels-and-restaurants


title: stateline.org: More industries want trumps help hiring immigrant labor after farms get a break
node_name: Agribusiness Enforcement Capture Mechanism
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://stateline.org/2025/12/03/more-industries-want-trumps-help-hiring-immigrant-labor-after-farms-get-a-break/


title: stateline.org: If trump wants more deportations hell need to target the construction industry
node_name: Construction-Housing Shortage Compounding Loop
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://stateline.org/2025/06/24/if-trump-wants-more-deportations-hell-need-to-target-the-construction-industry/


node_name: Native Wage Gain Erasure Mechanism
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://forumtogether.org/article/u-s-workforce-challenges-how-immigration-enforcement-is-impacting-the-american-economy/

title:
forumtogether.org: U s workforce challenges how immigration enforcement is impacting the american economy


title: socio.health: Dual labour market theory labor migration
node_name: Piore Segmented Labor Market Theory
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://socio.health/population-and-development-issues-challenges/dual-labour-market-theory-labor-migration/


title: researchgate.net: 4721732 Dual Labor Markets A Theory of Labor Market Segmentation
node_name: Piore Segmented Labor Market Theory
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/4721732_Dual_Labor_Markets_A_Theory_of_Labor_Market_Segmentation


title: frbsf.org: Economic effects of tariffs
node_name: Tariff Demand Shock Labor Absorption
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.frbsf.org/research-and-insights/publications/economic-letter/2025/11/economic-effects-of-tariffs/


title: fortune.com: Job market outlook 2026 trade trump tariffs immigration deportation ai productivity
node_name: Tariff Demand Shock Labor Absorption
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://fortune.com/2025/12/28/job-market-outlook-2026-trade-trump-tariffs-immigration-deportation-ai-productivity/


node_name: Agricultural Portfolio Shift Response
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.kansascityfed.org/research/economic-bulletin/some-segments-of-the-agricultural-economy-are-particularly-sensitive-to-changes-in-the-foreign-born-farm-labor-supply/

title:
kansascityfed.org: Some segments of the agricultural economy are particularly sensitive to changes in the foreign born farm labor supply


title: npr.org: Some florida farmers reduce crops as deportation fears drive workers away
node_name: Agricultural Portfolio Shift Response
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.npr.org/2025/08/20/nx-s1-5496668/some-florida-farmers-reduce-crops-as-deportation-fears-drive-workers-away


title: opportunity.lacounty.gov: LAEDCxDEO Economic Impacts of Federal Immigration Enforcement
node_name: Shadow Economy Contraction Paradox
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://opportunity.lacounty.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/LAEDCxDEO-Economic-Impacts-of-Federal-Immigration-Enforcement.pdf


title: colorado.edu: Ice income how increased enforcement freezing our economy
node_name: Shadow Economy Contraction Paradox
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.colorado.edu/polisci/2026/04/24/ice-income-how-increased-enforcement-freezing-our-economy


node_name: Shadow Economy Contraction Paradox
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.economyleague.org/resources/everyday-affordability-risk-how-immigration-enforcement-reshaping-philadelphias-gig

title:
economyleague.org: Everyday affordability risk how immigration enforcement reshaping philadelphias gig


title: fortune.com: Trump immigration unemployment jobs productivity impact on labor market goldman sachs
node_name: Negative Breakeven Employment Rate
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://fortune.com/2026/02/17/trump-immigration-unemployment-jobs-productivity-impact-on-labor-market-goldman-sachs/


title: Brookings: Macroeconomic implications of immigration flows in 2025 and 2026 january 2026 update
node_name: Negative Breakeven Employment Rate
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/macroeconomic-implications-of-immigration-flows-in-2025-and-2026-january-2026-update/


title: supplychainbrain.com: 42536 tariffs and deportations will they revive us manufacturing
node_name: Reshoring-Deportation Labor Self-Contradiction
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.supplychainbrain.com/articles/42536-tariffs-and-deportations-will-they-revive-us-manufacturing


title: aem.org: Our immigration system is undermining america%E2%80%99s manufacturing comeback
node_name: Reshoring-Deportation Labor Self-Contradiction
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.aem.org/news/our-immigration-system-is-undermining-america%E2%80%99s-manufacturing-comeback


title: oemmagazine.org: Proposed us tariffs could increase labor challenge
node_name: Reshoring-Deportation Labor Self-Contradiction
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.oemmagazine.org/business/workforce/article/22930572/proposed-us-tariffs-could-increase-labor-challenge


node_name: Remittance Collapse Destabilization Loop
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.borderreport.com/news/trade/remittances-to-mexico-fall-by-3-billion-things-wont-get-better-in-2026-experts-warn/

title:
borderreport.com: Remittances to mexico fall by 3 billion things wont get better in 2026 experts warn


title: bbvaresearch.com: Mexico 11 million lifted out of poverty thanks to remittances
node_name: Remittance Collapse Destabilization Loop
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.bbvaresearch.com/en/publicaciones/mexico-11-million-lifted-out-of-poverty-thanks-to-remittances/


node_name: US-Born Labor Force Decade Contraction
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.epi.org/publication/the-u-s-born-labor-force-will-shrink-over-the-next-decade-achieving-historically-normal-gdp-growth-rates-will-be-impossible-unless-immigration-flows-are-sustained/

title:
epi.org: The u s born labor force will shrink over the next decade achieving historically normal gdp growth rates will be impossible unless immigration flows are sustained


title: frbsf.org: Immigration and changes in labor force demographics
node_name: US-Born Labor Force Decade Contraction
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.frbsf.org/research-and-insights/publications/economic-letter/2025/11/immigration-and-changes-in-labor-force-demographics/


node_name: US-Born Labor Force Decade Contraction
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.kansascityfed.org/research/economic-bulletin/declining-immigration-and-an-aging-population-are-reducing-breakeven-employment-growth/

title:
kansascityfed.org: Declining immigration and an aging population are reducing breakeven employment growth


title: hiringlab.org: How a shrinking workforce ai and labor reallocation will define the next 15 years
node_name: US-Born Labor Force Decade Contraction
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.hiringlab.org/2026/05/14/how-a-shrinking-workforce-ai-and-labor-reallocation-will-define-the-next-15-years/


title: shrm.org: Trump 100k fee h1b visas impact tech sector
node_name: H-1B $100K Fee Two-Tier Filter
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.shrm.org/topics-tools/news/talent-acquisition/trump-100k-fee-h1b-visas-impact-tech-sector


title: aljazeera.com: Trump signs proclamation creating 100000 application fee for h 1b visas
node_name: H-1B $100K Fee Two-Tier Filter
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/9/19/trump-signs-proclamation-creating-100000-application-fee-for-h-1b-visas


node_name: IRS-ITIN Tax Compliance Trap
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://lawblogs.uc.edu/ihrlr/2025/05/29/from-taxpayer-to-target-understanding-the-consequences-of-irs-data-sharing-with-ice/

title:
lawblogs.uc.edu: From taxpayer to target understanding the consequences of irs data sharing with ice


node_name: IRS-ITIN Tax Compliance Trap
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.epi.org/policywatch/ice-and-irs-reach-agreement-to-share-taxpayer-information-of-suspected-undocumented-immigrants/

title:
epi.org: Ice and irs reach agreement to share taxpayer information of suspected undocumented immigrants


title: beneschlaw.com: New data sharing agreement between dhs and irs will impact employers
node_name: IRS-ITIN Tax Compliance Trap
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.beneschlaw.com/resources/new-data-sharing-agreement-between-dhs-and-irs-will-impact-employers.html


title: piie.com: Trumps proposed mass deportations would backfire us workers
node_name: Immigrant Entrepreneur Native Employment Multiplier
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2024/trumps-proposed-mass-deportations-would-backfire-us-workers


title: Brookings: Snap cuts in the one big beautiful bill act will significantly impair recession response
node_name: SNAP-Deportation Labor Compounding Shock
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/snap-cuts-in-the-one-big-beautiful-bill-act-will-significantly-impair-recession-response/


node_name: SNAP-Deportation Labor Compounding Shock
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.hamiltonproject.org/publication/post/snap-cuts-in-the-one-big-beautiful-bill-act-will-significantly-impair-recession-response/

title:
hamiltonproject.org: Snap cuts in the one big beautiful bill act will significantly impair recession response


title: americanimmigrationcouncil.org: Immigrants keep economy strong as congress debates mass deportation
node_name: Immigrant Consumer Demand Destruction Loop
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org/press-release/immigrants-keep-economy-strong-as-congress-debates-mass-deportation/


node_name: H-2A Wage Cut Self-Sabotage
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.epi.org/blog/trumps-new-h-2a-wage-rule-will-radically-cut-the-wages-of-all-farmworkers-new-estimates-show-farmworkers-stand-to-lose-4-4-to-5-4-billion-annually-under-dols-updated-adverse-effec/

title:
epi.org: Trumps new h 2a wage rule will radically cut the wages of all farmworkers new estimates show farmworkers stand to lose 4 4 to 5 4 billion annually under dols updated adverse effec


node_name: H-2A Wage Cut Self-Sabotage
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.kpbs.org/news/border-immigration/2026/03/23/trump-administration-acknowledges-it-needs-immigrant-farmworkers-as-it-moves-to-cut-their-pay

title:
kpbs.org: Trump administration acknowledges it needs immigrant farmworkers as it moves to cut their pay


node_name: H-2A Wage Cut Self-Sabotage
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://agroinformacion.com/en/farmpolicyregulations/h-2a-farmworker-wages-2026-face-court-challenge-as-trump-rule-would-cut-pay-to-13-70-per-hour-for-92-percent-of-visa-workers/

title:
agroinformacion.com: H 2a farmworker wages 2026 face court challenge as trump rule would cut pay to 13 70 per hour for 92 percent of visa workers


title: Bloomberg: New h 2a visa rules mean cheaper immigrant labor for us farms
node_name: H-2A Wage Cut Self-Sabotage
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2026-04-23/new-h-2a-visa-rules-mean-cheaper-immigrant-labor-for-us-farms


title: gvwire.com: Trump administration turns to migrants to address farm labor shortage
node_name: H-2A Program Legal Substitution Valve
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.gvwire.com/2026/03/16/trump-administration-turns-to-migrants-to-address-farm-labor-shortage/


title: frbsf.org: Unauthorized immigration effects on local labor markets
node_name: Geographic Labor Shock Concentration Effect
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.frbsf.org/research-and-insights/publications/economic-letter/2026/02/unauthorized-immigration-effects-on-local-labor-markets/


title: roboticsandautomationnews.com
node_name: Agricultural Mechanization Horizon
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://roboticsandautomationnews.com/2025/09/05/agricultural-robots-precision-farming-and-autonomous-harvesting/94109/


title: leowealth.com: Mass deportations and u s wage inflation unpacking the economic impact
node_name: Price-Mediated Labor Demand Destruction
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://leowealth.com/insights/mass-deportations-and-u-s-wage-inflation-unpacking-the-economic-impact/


title: supplychainbrain.com: 42109 us tariff and deportation policies on collision course in agribusiness
node_name: Price-Mediated Labor Demand Destruction
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.supplychainbrain.com/articles/42109-us-tariff-and-deportation-policies-on-collision-course-in-agribusiness


title: colorado.edu: Heightened ice enforcement harms us born workers shrinks workforce
node_name: Six-to-One Immigrant Departure Native Job Loss Ratio
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.colorado.edu/today/2026/05/04/heightened-ice-enforcement-harms-us-born-workers-shrinks-workforce


node_name: Six-to-One Immigrant Departure Native Job Loss Ratio
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.latintimes.com/ice-crackdowns-cut-jobs-us-born-workers-employers-scale-back-without-immigrant-labor-study-597123

title:
latintimes.com: Ice crackdowns cut jobs us born workers employers scale back without immigrant labor study 597123


title: thepacker.com: Specialty crops suffered staggering economic losses 2025 will relief come time
node_name: Specialty Crop Farm Exit Cascade 2025
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.thepacker.com/news/industry/specialty-crops-suffered-staggering-economic-losses-2025-will-relief-come-time


title: hbi.org: Fall 2025 Final Construction Labor Market Report Update
node_name: Construction Wage Signal Overridden by Demand Destruction
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://hbi.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/Fall-2025-Final-Construction-Labor-Market-Report-Update.pdf


title: impactpolicies.org: Native workers stagnate as policies slash immigrant labor supply
node_name: Construction Wage Signal Overridden by Demand Destruction
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://impactpolicies.org/news/831/native-workers-stagnate-as-policies-slash-immigrant-labor-supply


title: constructconnect.com: What the labor shortage means for construction bidding in 2026
node_name: Construction Wage Signal Overridden by Demand Destruction
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.constructconnect.com/blog/what-the-labor-shortage-means-for-construction-bidding-in-2026


node_name: AI Per-Worker Productivity Buffer on Labor Demand
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.atlantafed.org/-/media/Project/Atlanta/FRBA/Documents/research/publication/working-paper/2026/03/25/04-artificial-intelligence-productivity-and-the-workforce-evidence-from-corporate-executives.pdf

title:
atlantafed.org: 04 artificial intelligence productivity and the workforce evidence from corporate executives


title: lpl.com: The productivity advantage powering economic growth in 2026
node_name: AI Per-Worker Productivity Buffer on Labor Demand
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.lpl.com/research/weekly-market-commentary/the-productivity-advantage-powering-economic-growth-in-2026.html


title: ey.com: Ai driven productivity is fueling reinvestment over workforce reductions
node_name: AI Per-Worker Productivity Buffer on Labor Demand
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.ey.com/en_us/newsroom/2025/12/ai-driven-productivity-is-fueling-reinvestment-over-workforce-reductions


title: opb.org: Trump s immigration crackdown is hurting the construction industry
node_name: Immigrant Subcontracting Network Collapse
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.opb.org/article/2025/11/06/trump-s-immigration-crackdown-is-hurting-the-construction-industry/


node_name: Agricultural Automation Viability Gap
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://agfundernews.com/dailyrobotics-gears-up-for-commercial-launch-in-california-in-2026-with-robotic-strawberry-harvester

title:
agfundernews.com: Dailyrobotics gears up for commercial launch in california in 2026 with robotic strawberry harvester


title: allynav.com: Agriculture robot price
node_name: Agricultural Automation Viability Gap
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.allynav.com/precision-agriculture-solutions/agricultural-robots/agriculture-robot-price/


title: Brookings: Metro monitor 2026 immigration and regional economic performance
node_name: Geographic Shock Asymmetry
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/metro-monitor-2026-immigration-and-regional-economic-performance/


title: constructiondive.com: 817865
node_name: Geographic Shock Asymmetry
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.constructiondive.com/news/immigration-rate-construction-workers-labor-shortage-trades/817865/


title: americanimmigrationcouncil.org: Immigration toll on local economies what the data says
node_name: Geographic Shock Asymmetry
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org/blog/immigration-toll-on-local-economies-what-the-data-says/


node_name: Prison Labor Agricultural Substitution Failure
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://investigatemidwest.org/2025/10/29/trumps-deportations-are-causing-farm-labor-issues-he-hasnt-presented-a-viable-long-term-solution/

title:
investigatemidwest.org: Trumps deportations are causing farm labor issues he hasnt presented a viable long term solution


node_name: Immigrant-Native Skill Complementarity
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://budgetmodel.wharton.upenn.edu/issues/2025/7/28/mass-deportation-of-unauthorized-immigrants-fiscal-and-economic-effects

title:
budgetmodel.wharton.upenn.edu: Mass deportation of unauthorized immigrants fiscal and economic effects


title: allwork.space: Immigration crackdown is costing u s born workers jobs new research finds
node_name: Immigrant-Native Skill Complementarity
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://allwork.space/2026/05/immigration-crackdown-is-costing-u-s-born-workers-jobs-new-research-finds/


node_name: Immigrant-Native Skill Complementarity
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.americanimmigrationcouncil.org/fact-sheet/value-added-immigrants-create-jobs-and-businesses-boost-wages-native-born-workers/

title:
americanimmigrationcouncil.org: Value added immigrants create jobs and businesses boost wages native born workers


title: Bloomberg: Us immigration crackdown hurts some american workers study says
node_name: Construction Wage Inflation Without Native Substitution
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-04/us-immigration-crackdown-hurts-some-american-workers-study-says


title: atlantafed.org: Digging deeper into declining labor force participation
node_name: Labor Force Participation Discouragement Spiral
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/publications/policy-hub-macroblog/2025/10/01/digging-deeper-into-declining-labor-force-participation


node_name: IRS-ICE Data Sharing MOU
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://theconversation.com/the-fear-of-deportation-hangs-over-unauthorized-workers-trying-to-fight-exploitation-but-all-workers-in-the-us-have-rights-246865

title:
theconversation.com: The fear of deportation hangs over unauthorized workers trying to fight exploitation but all workers in the us have rights 246865


title: jec.senate.gov: Mass deportations would deliver a catastrophic blow to the us economy
node_name: Short-Run Native Wage Gain Long-Run Wage Reversal
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.jec.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/democrats/2024/12/mass-deportations-would-deliver-a-catastrophic-blow-to-the-us-economy


title: news.bloomberglaw.com: Immigration crackdown fails to deliver jobs for us born workers
node_name: Short-Run Native Wage Gain Long-Run Wage Reversal
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://news.bloomberglaw.com/immigration/immigration-crackdown-fails-to-deliver-jobs-for-us-born-workers


title: statnews.com: Long term care system immigration crackdown medicaid cuts congress
node_name: LTC Immigrant-Medicaid Triple Jeopardy
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.statnews.com/2025/05/30/long-term-care-system-immigration-crackdown-medicaid-cuts-congress/


node_name: LTC Immigrant-Medicaid Triple Jeopardy
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.epi.org/blog/trumps-deportation-plans-threaten-400000-direct-care-jobs-older-adults-and-people-with-disabilities-could-lose-vital-in-home-support/

title:
epi.org: Trumps deportation plans threaten 400000 direct care jobs older adults and people with disabilities could lose vital in home support


title: homehealthcarenews.com: Immigration policies hit home based care industry as providers lose workers
node_name: LTC Immigrant-Medicaid Triple Jeopardy
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://homehealthcarenews.com/2025/07/immigration-policies-hit-home-based-care-industry-as-providers-lose-workers/


title: aei.org: Stranded by the safety net how to fix the benefit cliff problem
node_name: Benefits Cliff Slack Reservoir Lock
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.aei.org/research-products/report/stranded-by-the-safety-net-how-to-fix-the-benefit-cliff-problem/


title: ncrc.org: Trapped by success how benefits cliffs undermine economic mobility for single mothers
node_name: Benefits Cliff Slack Reservoir Lock
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://ncrc.org/trapped-by-success-how-benefits-cliffs-undermine-economic-mobility-for-single-mothers/


node_name: Vocational Training Desertification
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.remarcable.com/blog/skilled-trades-statistics-for-2026-the-numbers-behind-the-workforce-that-builds-everything/

title:
remarcable.com: Skilled trades statistics for 2026 the numbers behind the workforce that builds everything


title: McKinsey: Tradespeople wanted the need for critical trade skills in the us
node_name: Vocational Training Desertification
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/people-and-organizational-performance/our-insights/tradespeople-wanted-the-need-for-critical-trade-skills-in-the-us


title: abccarolinas.org: Construction apprenticeship your complete guide to earning while you learn
node_name: Apprenticeship Four-Year Speed Limit
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://abccarolinas.org/construction-apprenticeship-your-complete-guide-to-earning-while-you-learn/


node_name: Social Security Ghost Contributor Paradox
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://budgetmodel.wharton.upenn.edu/issues/2025/6/18/the-impact-of-president-trumps-deportation-policies-the-social-security-program

title:
budgetmodel.wharton.upenn.edu: The impact of president trumps deportation policies the social security program


title: foxbusiness.com: Social security insolvency could speed up illegal immigration crackdown
node_name: Social Security Ghost Contributor Paradox
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/social-security-insolvency-could-speed-up-illegal-immigration-crackdown


title: marketplace.org: How trumps immigration policies could threaten social security
node_name: Social Security Ghost Contributor Paradox
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.marketplace.org/story/2025/07/10/how-trumps-immigration-policies-could-threaten-social-security


node_name: Prison-to-Farm Pipeline
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://worthrises.org/blogpost/2025/6/18/prison-labor-in-agriculture-people-in-prison-are-picking-cotton-on-former-plantations-in-dangerous-conditions-for-no-pay

title:
worthrises.org: Prison labor in agriculture people in prison are picking cotton on former plantations in dangerous conditions for no pay


title: bakerinstitute.org: Migrant workers vital role agriculture conversation alejandro gutierrez li
node_name: Internal Geographic Enforcement Lock
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.bakerinstitute.org/research/migrant-workers-vital-role-agriculture-conversation-alejandro-gutierrez-li/


node_name: Sanctuary Jurisdiction Labor Retention Advantage
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.ainvest.com/news/sanctuary-city-conundrum-balancing-immigration-policy-fiscal-stability-municipalities-2508/

title:
ainvest.com: Sanctuary city conundrum balancing immigration policy fiscal stability municipalities 2508


node_name: Republican Agricultural State Schism
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.epi.org/blog/congressional-budget-amendment-and-new-dol-wage-rule-together-would-greatly-expand-work-visas-for-farmworkers-and-drastically-lower-their-wages/

title:
epi.org: Congressional budget amendment and new dol wage rule together would greatly expand work visas for farmworkers and drastically lower their wages


title: newhouse.house.gov: Newhouse bipartisan coalition introduce farm workforce modernization
node_name: Republican Agricultural State Schism
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://newhouse.house.gov/media-center/press-releases/newhouse-bipartisan-coalition-introduce-farm-workforce-modernization


title: wlrn.org: Trump canceled temporary legal status for more than 1 5 million immigrants in 2025
node_name: TPS-Parole Status Manufacturing Paradox
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.wlrn.org/immigration/2025-12-29/trump-canceled-temporary-legal-status-for-more-than-1-5-million-immigrants-in-2025


title: stage4solutions.com: The great labor shortage demographic trends reshaping the us workforce
node_name: 2031 Genuine Labor Scarcity Horizon
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.stage4solutions.com/blog/the-great-labor-shortage-demographic-trends-reshaping-the-us-workforce/


title: dtnpf.com: Dol issues new h 2a rule cutting ag
node_name: H-2A Wage-Cut Self-Defeat Paradox
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/blogs/ag-policy-blog/blog-post/2025/10/03/dol-issues-new-h-2a-rule-cutting-ag


title: visaverge.com: U s immigration policies in 2025 drive skilled talent to competing nations
node_name: Global Talent Capture Counter-Migration
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.visaverge.com/news/u-s-immigration-policies-in-2025-drive-skilled-talent-to-competing-nations/


title: ogletree.com: Canada makes a competitive play for h 1b holders
node_name: Global Talent Capture Counter-Migration
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://ogletree.com/insights-resources/blog-posts/canada-makes-a-competitive-play-for-h-1b-holders/


title: frbsf.org: Recent slowdown in labor supply and demand
node_name: Demand Contraction as Primary Shock Absorber
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.frbsf.org/research-and-insights/publications/economic-letter/2026/01/recent-slowdown-in-labor-supply-and-demand/


node_name: Demand Contraction as Primary Shock Absorber
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-us-labor-market-ground-to-a-halt-in-2025-the-risk-in-2026-is-that-it-cracks-140026614.html

title:
finance.yahoo.com: The us labor market ground to a halt in 2025 the risk in 2026 is that it cracks 140026614


title: wral.com: 22097203
node_name: Penn Wharton 10-Year GDP-Wage Descent Model
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.wral.com/story/how-trump-s-mass-deportations-could-backfire-on-the-american-economy-by-shrinking-paychecks/22097203/


title: americanprogress.org: Release trumps immigration crackdown is weakening americas labor market
node_name: 2026 Wage Inversion Empirical Proof
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://americanprogress.org/press/release-trumps-immigration-crackdown-is-weakening-americas-labor-market/


title: bayareaeconomy.org: Economic%20Impact%20of%20Mass%20Deportation June%202025
node_name: Geographic-Occupational Labor Lock-In
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.bayareaeconomy.org/files/pdf/Economic%20Impact%20of%20Mass%20Deportation_June%202025.pdf


title: theeconomicstutor.com: Factor immobility occupational and geographical
node_name: Geographic-Occupational Labor Lock-In
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://www.theeconomicstutor.com/economics-notes/notes-on-market-failure/factor-immobility-occupational-and-geographical/


title: budgetmodel.wharton.upenn.edu: Projected impact of generative ai on future productivity growth
node_name: AI Capex GDP Phantom Recovery
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://budgetmodel.wharton.upenn.edu/issues/2025/9/8/projected-impact-of-generative-ai-on-future-productivity-growth


title: laweconcenter.org: Ai productivity and labor markets a review of the empirical evidence
node_name: AI Capex GDP Phantom Recovery
created_at: 2026-05-19 22:18:13
url:
https://laweconcenter.org/resources/ai-productivity-and-labor-markets-a-review-of-the-empirical-evidence/


